Monday’s bond market has opened in positive territory to start the new week with a minor improvement to mortgage rates. The major stock indexes are mixed with the Dow up 94 points and the Nasdaq down 15 points. The bond market is currently up 7/32 (2.84%), which should cause this morning’s mortgage rates to be slightly lower than Friday’s morning pricing.
There is nothing of relevance to mortgage rates set for today or tomorrow. The rest of the week brings us the release of only three pieces of economic data that may influence rates in addition to the minutes from the last FOMC meeting and the annual Jackson Hole Fed conference. Only one of the reports can be considered very important. As a result, it is likely that we will see the most movement in rates later in the week.
Overall, I am expecting to see the most movement in rates Friday with the Durable Goods Orders report scheduled and a speaking engagement from Fed Chair Powell at the Jackson Hole Central Banker conference. We need to watch the stock markets for rate direction also as significant selling in them could help bring funds into bonds. Generally speaking, stock strength often hurts the bond market while stock losses make bonds more appealing to investors. Therefore, please proceed cautiously and keep an eye on the markets if still floating an interest rate.
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